Layout Image
310-281-3915
  • About Michael
  • Areas Served
  • MLS Search
  • Blog
  • Resources
  • Contact

Commercial Real Estate Forecasted to Improve

By Michael Collins · Comments (0)
Thursday, April 26th, 2012

The latest National Association of Realtors quarterly commercial real estate forecast indicates that all major commercial real estate sectors are seeing improved fundamentals.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said vacancy rates are improving in all of the major commercial real estate sectors. “Sustained job creation is benefiting commercial real estate sectors by increasing demand for space,” he said. “Vacancy rates are steadily falling. Leasing is on the rise and rents are showing signs of strengthening, especially in the apartment market where rents are rising the fastest.”

The rental market has undergone some dramatic changes since the real estate bubble burst several years ago. Recession conditions and continued lagging in the economic recovery have led to more renters and subsequently rising rental rates

Over the next year vacancy rates are expected to decline even further. The office sector is forecasted to see a 0.4 percent decline. The industrial real estate market is forecasted for an 0.8 percent decline and 0.9 percent in the retail sector. The multi-family rental market is expected to see a 0.2 percent decline this year.

This projection will continue to increase the role of the landlord demanding bigger rent increases.

After rising 2.2 percent last year, average apartment rent is expected to increase 3.8 percent in 2012 and another 4.0 percent next year. Multifamily net absorption is forecast at 209,900 units this year and 223,600 in 2013.

“Household formation appears to be rising from pent-up demand,” Yun said. “The tight apartment market should encourage more apartment construction. Otherwise, rent increases could further accelerate in the near-to-intermediate term.”

Vacancy rates for the multi-family market, specifically, are likely to drop from 4.7 percent this first quarter to 4.5 percent in the first quarter of 2013.

Comments (0)
Categories : Advice, California, Real Estate Trends

Home sales in Southern California climb, price declines slow

By Michael Collins · Comments (0)
Thursday, April 19th, 2012

More Southern California homes sold in March than did a year earlier, and price declines slowed as the spring selling season got underway and more traditional home buyers entered a market that has seen record numbers of investors.

The Southland’s median home price of $280,000 was essentially flat, down just 0.2% from March 2011. Compared with February, the median price rose 5.8% for a second consecutive monthly increase, real estate research firm DataQuick reported Tuesday.

Recent home price data have shown a broad deceleration in price declines in California and the nation’s biggest metro areas. While a slowing decline may not be the most comforting news for average buyers looking to plop down their savings on a fixer-upper, it has led several economists and other observers to make hopeful calls that a bottom is approaching.

DataQuick President John Walsh doesn’t expect a sharp turnaround in the housing market soon, given the recent weak numbers. Although March’s sales statistics improved, they remain well below the historical average for the month dating to 1988.

“The results from the first big sales month of 2012 suggest the market is stuck in low gear,” Walsh said. “This remains a very gradual — not to mention fragile — recovery.”

Sales increased 2.8% year over year to 19,953 homes in the six-county region, DataQuick reported. Sales improved the most in Orange, Ventura and San Diego counties.

As is normal with the start of the spring shopping season, home sales from February to March jumped, this time 28.1%. Historically, sales have surged 37% between those two months, DataQuick said.

Sales have shown improvement recently, increasing for the last three months and for seven of the last eight months. Foreclosed homes and short sales — in which a home is sold for less than the outstanding debt on the property — accounted for about half of all sales last month.

Whether the housing market will turn around this year remains a key question among economists and policymakers. Economists see several factors working in favor of a real estate turnaround. Rents are quickly rising as prices are falling, making homeownership potentially more attractive to tenants who have steady work, can afford a down payment and have retained good credit.

In addition, while prices have trended down, they aren’t in the same free-fall that emerged after the subprime mortgage crisis and credit crunch of 2007, experts have said. The drop in prices is largely due to foreclosures, which continue to ravage certain hard-hit neighborhoods.

Other broad indicators that support a housing recovery include a growing number of households, low interest rates and a tighter supply of homes on the market. The California Assn. of Realtors reported Monday that the state’s housing inventory in March shrank to just over four months’ worth. Economists generally consider a six-month supply of homes for sale a healthy market.

“Inventory is low, and there is just a lot of stuff that is overpriced,” said Syd Leibovitch, president of Rodeo Realty. “But the stuff that is priced right is selling for much more than it would in October and November.”

Activity by speculators continued at a strong clip last month, boosting the low end of the market. Investor activity nearly hit a record for the month and cash purchases were double their historical average, DataQuick said. Absentee buyers bought 27.9% of all homes last month, while cash buyers accounted for 31.7% of homes sold.

But as long as the share of investors in the real estate market remains high, prices are likely to remain depressed, as many of these cash-rich bargain-hunters buy homes at a discount. Housing also remains stymied by persistent unemployment and the threat of more foreclosures. The difficulties buyers are having securing mortgages is also slowing down the market, real estate agents have said, and the large share of homes in the state that are underwater is keeping prospective sellers from listing their homes.

Richard Green, director of USC’s Lusk Center for Real Estate, said he is most concerned about the weak job market.

The high number of investors buying discounted homes is probably masking a recovery in values for properties purchased by people who buy homes to live in them, said Richard Green, director of USC’s Lusk Center for Real Estate. The real concern is the job weak job market, he said.

“Things are probably a little better than they appear,” Green said. “The only downside is the job numbers for January and February. If it weren’t for that, I think we would be on a verge of a turnaround.”

Info Source

Comments (0)
Categories : Beverly Hills, California, Real Estate Trends

News Flash: The real estate market appears to be rebounding

By Michael Collins · Comments (0)
Saturday, April 14th, 2012

 

LOS ANGELES (CBS) — The real estate market appears to be rebounding after a long slump. And all market trends and economic indicators show it.

But there are also indications that what buyers are looking for — and the market itself — have changed in significant ways.

Suraya Fadel reported from Studio City Thursday — a location that is seeing a particular boom.

She profiled realtor Grace Mitnick who has sold homes and property in the San Fernando Valley and westside for the past 18 years.

“Inventory is low. A lot of buyers are out there taking advantage of interest rates and prices. Every property I’ve written has been in multiple offers since November.”

Mitnick says that is a welcome sign for buyers and anyone trying to sell a home.

“Buyers want to feel like they’re getting a lot of bang for their buck,” Mitnick says.

New buyers says the agent are eager. They are also more conservative than buyers who purchased homes during the boom years. She senses the mood is more confident and that people are more aware of what it costs to own a home. “People are looking for home they can afford…more in their comfort zone.”

Mitnick believes today’s buyer’s sat on the sidelines during the housing slump and saved more — strengthening their credit scores. “The buyers also became extremely internet savvy. They’ve done a lot of homework and research.”

Buyers are also looking for smaller, more efficient homes. Mitnick believes homes that are turn key will be easier to sell than fixer uppers. A lot of buyers also want short commutes.

For Mitnick and other realtors, lowering home prices helps the bottom line. “Prices have come down considerably. It’s given a lot more opportunities to those who could not afford to buy when prices were skyrocketing.”

Comments (0)
Categories : Advice, California, Real Estate Trends
« Previous Page
Next Page »

The Listing Manager is a FREE and easy to use feature that gives you the ability to view properties found on the Multiple Listing Service as soon as they come on the market. Click on the Icon below to sign up.

CONNECT WITH MICHAEL COLLINS SOCIAL MEDIA

Facebook Twitter Linked In RSS

SEARCH

Beverly Hills Beverly Hills Post Office Sunset Strip West Hollywood Westside
help me relocate Find my dream home What\'s my home worth?
Michael Collins Blog
Copyright © 2012 All Rights Reserved
iThemes Builder by iThemes
Powered by WordPress

Fontsforweb.com - free web fonts download. See this Wordpress fonts plugin